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Henry Kissinger on the Assembly of a New World Order

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Henry Kissinger on the Assembly of a New World Order

Postby shickingbrits on Sat Aug 30, 2014 1:54 pm

http://online.wsj.com/articles/henry-ki ... 1409328075

A third failing of the current world order, such as it exists, is the absence of an effective mechanism for the great powers to consult and possibly cooperate on the most consequential issues. This may seem an odd criticism in light of the many multilateral forums that exist—more by far than at any other time in history. Yet the nature and frequency of these meetings work against the elaboration of long-range strategy. This process permits little beyond, at best, a discussion of pending tactical issues and, at worst, a new form of summitry as "social media" event. A contemporary structure of international rules and norms, if it is to prove relevant, cannot merely be affirmed by joint declarations; it must be fostered as a matter of common conviction.

The penalty for failing will be not so much a major war between states (though in some regions this remains possible) as an evolution into spheres of influence identified with particular domestic structures and forms of governance. At its edges, each sphere would be tempted to test its strength against other entities deemed illegitimate. A struggle between regions could be even more debilitating than the struggle between nations has been.

The contemporary quest for world order will require a coherent strategy to establish a concept of order within the various regions and to relate these regional orders to one another. These goals are not necessarily self-reconciling: The triumph of a radical movement might bring order to one region while setting the stage for turmoil in and with all others. The domination of a region by one country militarily, even if it brings the appearance of order, could produce a crisis for the rest of the world.

A world order of states affirming individual dignity and participatory governance, and cooperating internationally in accordance with agreed-upon rules, can be our hope and should be our inspiration. But progress toward it will need to be sustained through a series of intermediary stages.


Thoughts?
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Re: Henry Kissinger on the Assembly of a New World Order

Postby BigBallinStalin on Sat Aug 30, 2014 2:04 pm

Plagiarism.

Also, Tetlock's got this book called: Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know?.

He asked a bunch of so-called political experts to make predictions, and 20 years later, Tetlock finished his book by examining if they were correct. They weren't. IIRC, they were at best as good as the opinions of laypersons.

Kissinger said roughly in the 1980s that a nuclear explosion would definitely occur in 20 years.* It didn't. Kissinger defended his inability to predict future threats with a "whatever," and he continued to write nonsense ever since.

    *(I might be mixing up his prediction with another person who predicted that communism--like the USSR--wouldn't collapse within 20 years. And it did shortly after the prediction.

I'll read the wsj article to see if he's improved.
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Re: Henry Kissinger on the Assembly of a New World Order

Postby warmonger1981 on Sat Aug 30, 2014 10:12 pm

A few years ago on TV Kissinger said Obama has the perfect opportunity to bring the new world order. It was on one of those financial programs in the morning. This is 100 years in the making.
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Re: Henry Kissinger on the Assembly of a New World Order

Postby KoolBak on Sun Aug 31, 2014 8:37 am

Image

He also attempted the peace negotiation in the Spheron war

http://futurama.wikia.com/wiki/War_is_the_H-Word
"Gypsy told my fortune...she said that nothin showed...."

Neil Young....Like An Inca

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riskllama wrote:Koolbak wins this thread.
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