betiko wrote:DiM wrote:betiko wrote:
Atletico is not favorite to win, at this stage the real is.
what? no way.
atletico madrid is 3 points ahead of real madrid. this means that even if they lose the last game versus barcelona they'll end up with the same points as real. but they have the advantage of the head-to-head results versus real madrid so they'll win the league.
real's only chance is for atletico to not win in 2 games (draw/loss) and at the same time real has to win everything.
Well technically you are right, but i see the real get a 15/15 and the atletico draw in valencia and barcelona. I don t know, the atletico has the most complicated calendar of the 3 and they are the least experienced and have less bench, the fact that they are still in the champions league will make them lose both titles imo.
as a real madrid fan i'd love for you to be right, but the experience is not a solid argument. they've just eliminated barca and they're top of the league. they clearly know how to handle pressure.
as for the bench, you'd be surprised how "thin" real's bench is with a few injuries/suspensions.
for example vs almeria real had the following bench:
1.Casillas 27.Lucas 28.Mascarell 39.JosƩ 16.Casemiro 38.Llorente 21.Morata
aside from casillas none of the other players was starting 11 material. only morata comes close and maybe casemiro to an extent.
on the other hand atletico had the following bench vs getafe:
1.Aranzubia 24.Sosa 5.Tiago 12.Alderweireld 7.AdriĆ”n 11.RodrĆguez 21.Diego which is pretty standard for them.
it's very important how they'll manage the fitness of the players and the injuries. if real gets a few injured back in shape and 100% able to play then they will indeed have a much better bench than atletico.
also one very important aspect is what will barcelona do if in the final game they'll have the opportunity to give the title to either real or to atletico. my bet is they'd rather prefer to lose the game on purpose if that means real finishing behind atletico.
āIn the beginning God said, the four-dimensional divergence of an antisymmetric, second rank tensor equals zero, and there was light, and it was good. And on the seventh day he rested.ā- Michio Kaku