Conquer Club

I am just curious as to the odds of getting a turn in when someone has 3 cards and when he has 4 thanks in advance.

Ragnarok11 wrote:I am just curious as to the odds of getting a turn in when someone has 3 cards and when he has 4 thanks in advance.

can you explain that a little more please? what exactly do you mean?

I think he means what are the odds of having a spoil set if you've only recieved 3 cards? As well as what the odds are if you have received 4 cards that you would have a set to turn in.

I think it really depends on the size of the map. I'm not 100% on the way the cards are determined though.

Ragnarok11 wrote:I am just curious as to the odds of getting a turn in when someone has 3 cards and when he has 4 thanks in advance.

33% with 3 cards
somewhere around 80% when you have 4 cards

GSP JR wrote:I think he means what are the odds of having a spoil set if you've only recieved 3 cards? As well as what the odds are if you have received 4 cards that you would have a set to turn in.

I think it really depends on the size of the map. I'm not 100% on the way the cards are determined though.

Sets are based on color of the cards which there are only 3 options for regardless of the size of the map

ljex wrote:

GSP JR wrote:I think he means what are the odds of having a spoil set if you've only recieved 3 cards? As well as what the odds are if you have received 4 cards that you would have a set to turn in.

I think it really depends on the size of the map. I'm not 100% on the way the cards are determined though.

Sets are based on color of the cards which there are only 3 options for regardless of the size of the map

Yeah, I understand that. I guess my thoughts were, if you have a small map, then there are fewer cards. If you have a large map, there would be more cards so the likelyhood would change.

Then I read your 33% and decided my brain isn't functioning today.

GSP JR wrote:

ljex wrote:

GSP JR wrote:I think he means what are the odds of having a spoil set if you've only recieved 3 cards? As well as what the odds are if you have received 4 cards that you would have a set to turn in.

I think it really depends on the size of the map. I'm not 100% on the way the cards are determined though.

Sets are based on color of the cards which there are only 3 options for regardless of the size of the map

Yeah, I understand that. I guess my thoughts were, if you have a small map, then there are fewer cards. If you have a large map, there would be more cards so the likelyhood would change.

Then I read your 33% and decided my brain isn't functioning today.

It happens to the best of us

just would like to add if u have 5 cards its 100%

VampireM wrote:just would like to add if u have 5 cards its 100%

I think this warrants a third "General Achievement" medal

trapyoung wrote:

VampireM wrote:just would like to add if u have 5 cards its 100%

I think this warrants a third "General Achievement" medal

Thank you, someone that appreciates my work.. those medals are hard to get

With four cards the odds of a set are 7/9, but only 2/3 if you didn't have a three-card set.

With 0 cards, you have a 0% chance of a set.

thanks for the info

Army of GOD wrote:With 0, 1, or 2 cards, you have a 0% chance of a set.

Fixed for better accuracy