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Re: Competition - predict the Clan League - winner: pmchugh

Posted: Mon Oct 18, 2010 4:24 pm
by laughingcavalier
See second post for updates


Roll up, roll up.
In case you missed it in this week's Dispatch we're running a competition - predict the results of the league season. Here's how it works, you've got a week to get your entries in...
Click image to enlarge.
image
COMPETITON: FANTASY LEAGUE
Sign up for the Clan Fantasy League. Three months premium and a general achievement medal to the winner!

It's simple. For each clan give the total number of games you think they will win. Tie-breaker: which individual player will win most games in the league?
Entries should be sent by PM to laughingcavalier.
Only one entry per player and no duplicate entries will be accepted.

Remember we're not counting play-offs, it's just the regular season. So each clan will play 90 games - how many of those 90 games will they win? There will be 270 total games played in each division so your total number of wins in each division should add up to 270. Last year scores varied between 69% of games won (with a single exception at 81%) and 31%. If games followed the same pattern this year (and that's a big IF!) the top scoring teams would win about 62 games, and the bottom scoring about 28 games. The clans in each division are listed in the order they were seeded at the season's start.

We'll show everybody's chosen scores after entries are complete, and run updates through the season to let you know how you're doing. Scoring will be calculated by how many points deviation there is from the final score to your prediction.

Entries close Friday 22nd October.
Thanks to the clan directors for their support in creating this competition.

Do you know your clans? Can you look into your crystal ball and see what the season will bring? Sign up and prove it! See if you can win that premium and the glittery gold thing.


Format for entries:
Spoiler
List the teams in the order they are seeded in each division. (Don't change the order they are listed so we can copy and paste your entry). After each clan give the number of games you think they will win.
Finally the tie-breaker: which player do you think will win the most games in the league?
Here is an example entry - all you need to do is change the number of games for each clan and the winningest player.
PM your entry to laughingcavalier.
It should look like this - you can copy and paste and just change the numbers:

Division A
LOW 20
TOFU 20
ID 45
BSS 35
LEGION 80
TIME 70

Division B
BPB 45
EMP 45
AOD 45
MYTH 45
DEVB 45
MM 45

Division C
IA 60
NEM 60
AOC 30
FOED 30
SOW 60
DYN 30

Division D
KORT 90
TSM 0
L4D 70
GEN1 20
TLW 50
GRIM 40

Winningest player: jpcloet

Re: Competition - PREMIUM PRIZE - predict the League

Posted: Mon Oct 18, 2010 4:25 pm
by laughingcavalier
Congratulations to pmchugh winner of the Dispatch competition to predict the outcome of the clan regular season. Three months premium and a general achievement medal are on their way.
Congrats also to leehar who tied on the score and only missed out on the win by the tiebreak. General acheivement medal well deserved.
Thanks to all who played.
Click image to enlarge.
image

See all the entries and the table at:
http://cid-4e393b799f8f5830.skydrive.li ... hmFIJLk%24

Previous updates
Spoiler
Jan
We have a new leader - well two new leaders.
Commander62890 ties with jrh_cardinal
pmchugh is just one game behind
And others are close too... just a few games left to the close of the competition...

Player Games Behind
commander62890
jrh_cardinal
pmchugh -1
leehar -3
MTIceman41 -8
josko.ri -11
Gold Knight -23
danryan -31
chemefreak -45
¡¿¡¿¡¿¡ -89
reptile -110
phantomzero -128
40kguy -330
Squishyg -339

And I looked at predictions on clans too.
The top clan who have performed ahead of predictions are: Agents of Chaos
And the two clans who have fallen behind expectations are:
Nemesis 22 games behind average prediction
Bandits 15 games behind average prediction
Spoiler
Dec 2 -
pmchugh takes the lead

Player Games Behind
pmchugh
commander62890 6
jrh_cardinal 8
leehar 10
MTIceman41 16
Gold Knight 24
danryan 27
chemefreak 32
josko.ri 33
¡¿¡¿¡¿¡ 53
reptile 62
phantomzero 99
40kguy 178
Squishyg 191

20 Nov update:
With just over a third of games played we have a leader:

MTIceman41
narrowly over pmchugh and Commander62890
with half a dozen more close behind.
Entries
Spoiler
Thanks for entries received so far:

Danryan
Gold Knight
Commander62890
MTIceman41
reptile
chemefreak
pmchugh
¡¿¡¿¡¿¡y
squishyg
40kguy
jrh_cardinal
josko.ri
phantomzero
Leehar

Re: Competition - PREMIUM PRIZE - predict the Clan League

Posted: Wed Oct 20, 2010 9:50 am
by owenshooter
3 months premium? really? clans routinely give away a premium membership in contests, and that is a full year (we have given away multiple full premium memberships). if a clan can do it, can't team CC? 3 months? really? was that a typo? is that supposed to be 3 years?!! and nice use of brett's avatar!!! that is killer, even if the 3 months isn't...-the black jesus

Re: Competition - PREMIUM PRIZE - predict the Clan League

Posted: Wed Oct 20, 2010 8:12 pm
by nikola_milicki
what black jesus said.

Re: Competition - PREMIUM PRIZE - predict the Clan League

Posted: Sun Oct 24, 2010 5:48 pm
by laughingcavalier
Thanks for the entries. We're winding up entries now & will post the predictions we've received. Good luck to those who entered.

Re: Competition - PREMIUM PRIZE - predict the Clan League

Posted: Sun Oct 24, 2010 5:49 pm
by Gold Knight
owenshooter wrote:3 months premium? really? clans routinely give away a premium membership in contests, and that is a full year (we have given away multiple full premium memberships). if a clan can do it, can't team CC? 3 months? really? was that a typo? is that supposed to be 3 years?!! and nice use of brett's avatar!!! that is killer, even if the 3 months isn't...-the black jesus
They technically could have done nothing... And beggars cant be choosers.. :D

Re: Competition - PREMIUM PRIZE - predict the Clan League

Posted: Sun Oct 24, 2010 11:34 pm
by Bruceswar
you would have gotten more entries had you posted this in the clan area. Just saying...

Re: Competition - PREMIUM PRIZE - predict the Clan League

Posted: Mon Oct 25, 2010 7:58 am
by owenshooter
Gold Knight wrote:
owenshooter wrote:3 months premium? really? clans routinely give away a premium membership in contests, and that is a full year (we have given away multiple full premium memberships). if a clan can do it, can't team CC? 3 months? really? was that a typo? is that supposed to be 3 years?!! and nice use of brett's avatar!!! that is killer, even if the 3 months isn't...-the black jesus
They technically could have done nothing... And beggars cant be choosers.. :D
how am i a beggar if i have premium? and how could they "technically" have done nothing? they could have offered a full premium, it is not impossible! our clan has given away several full premium accounts for contests, why can't team CC? just saying, looks suspect...-the black jesus

Re: Competition - PREMIUM PRIZE - predict the Clan League

Posted: Mon Oct 25, 2010 10:45 am
by Gold Knight
owenshooter wrote:
Gold Knight wrote:
owenshooter wrote:3 months premium? really? clans routinely give away a premium membership in contests, and that is a full year (we have given away multiple full premium memberships). if a clan can do it, can't team CC? 3 months? really? was that a typo? is that supposed to be 3 years?!! and nice use of brett's avatar!!! that is killer, even if the 3 months isn't...-the black jesus
They technically could have done nothing... And beggars cant be choosers.. :D
how am i a beggar if i have premium? and how could they "technically" have done nothing? they could have offered a full premium, it is not impossible! our clan has given away several full premium accounts for contests, why can't team CC? just saying, looks suspect...-the black jesus
Didnt call you specifically a beggar, but just saying that this same thing was done for Season 2 of the clan league by jpcloet and im pretty sure he offered no prize, just did it for fun. Could they offer a year? Sure. But why start a precedent of spending money on customers now...? :mrgreen:

Re: Competition - PREMIUM PRIZE - predict the Clan League

Posted: Mon Oct 25, 2010 4:49 pm
by Dai_atan
owenshooter wrote:
Gold Knight wrote:
owenshooter wrote:3 months premium? really? clans routinely give away a premium membership in contests, and that is a full year (we have given away multiple full premium memberships). if a clan can do it, can't team CC? 3 months? really? was that a typo? is that supposed to be 3 years?!! and nice use of brett's avatar!!! that is killer, even if the 3 months isn't...-the black jesus
They technically could have done nothing... And beggars cant be choosers.. :D
how am i a beggar if i have premium? and how could they "technically" have done nothing? they could have offered a full premium, it is not impossible! our clan has given away several full premium accounts for contests, why can't team CC? just saying, looks suspect...-the black jesus
you don't have to enter this contest,
some people would be thrilled to get 3months extra, especially considering the minor amount of work involved in this contest...
We at the dispatch know that people are going to do this sort of thing anyway just for the love of it. So we figured we may as well add a little prize on top.
No need to insult us :)

Re: Competition - PREMIUM PRIZE - predict the Clan League

Posted: Tue Oct 26, 2010 11:35 pm
by chemefreak
Dai_atan wrote:
owenshooter wrote:
Gold Knight wrote:
owenshooter wrote:3 months premium? really? clans routinely give away a premium membership in contests, and that is a full year (we have given away multiple full premium memberships). if a clan can do it, can't team CC? 3 months? really? was that a typo? is that supposed to be 3 years?!! and nice use of brett's avatar!!! that is killer, even if the 3 months isn't...-the black jesus
They technically could have done nothing... And beggars cant be choosers.. :D
how am i a beggar if i have premium? and how could they "technically" have done nothing? they could have offered a full premium, it is not impossible! our clan has given away several full premium accounts for contests, why can't team CC? just saying, looks suspect...-the black jesus
you don't have to enter this contest,
some people would be thrilled to get 3months extra, especially considering the minor amount of work involved in this contest...
We at the dispatch know that people are going to do this sort of thing anyway just for the love of it. So we figured we may as well add a little prize on top.
No need to insult us :)
Just foe owenshooter and you won't have to read his bullshit. Unless of course someone quotes it...

This should be a fun contest. I am looking forward to winning. 8-)

Re: Competition - PREMIUM PRIZE - predict the Clan League

Posted: Wed Oct 27, 2010 2:17 am
by Bruceswar
the dismal amount of entries is staggering...

Re: Competition - PREMIUM PRIZE - predict the Clan League

Posted: Wed Oct 27, 2010 4:47 pm
by josko.ri
werent entries closed at Friday 22th?
accepting new ones after the deadline may cause only unfair advantage to them as they saw more results that the ones who sent prediction within the deadline.

Re: Competition - PREMIUM PRIZE - predict the Clan League

Posted: Wed Oct 27, 2010 5:20 pm
by laughingcavalier
josko.ri wrote:werent entries closed at Friday 22th?
accepting new ones after the deadline may cause only unfair advantage to them as they saw more results that the ones who sent prediction within the deadline.
That's true. If you or anyone else who has entered already wants to change their entry that's fine.

We're extending the competition to this weekend coming to encourage more entries.

Re: Competition - PREMIUM PRIZE - predict the Clan League

Posted: Wed Oct 27, 2010 6:51 pm
by josko.ri
laughingcavalier wrote: We're extending the competition to this weekend coming to encourage more entries.
ok, good to know that :)

Re: Competition - PREMIUM PRIZE - predict the Clan League

Posted: Wed Oct 27, 2010 8:28 pm
by nikola_milicki
Bruceswar wrote:the dismal amount of entries is staggering...
maybe too much research for only 3 months premium?

Re: Competition - PREMIUM PRIZE - predict the Clan League

Posted: Thu Oct 28, 2010 8:39 pm
by Gold Knight
nikola_milicki wrote:
Bruceswar wrote:the dismal amount of entries is staggering...
maybe too much research for only 3 months premium?
Just fine for me, I put no research in and still have an equal shot at winning... :D Technically, its better if less people enter because it increases the chances of those who were willing to put in 3 mins of typing numbers in. Hell, you could copy LC's example and that would be about 20 secs, though i would reconsider having JP as the winningest player... ;)

Re: Competition - PREMIUM PRIZE - predict the Clan League

Posted: Thu Nov 11, 2010 4:35 am
by laughingcavalier
Second post is updated with link to excel of entries

Re: Competition - PREMIUM PRIZE - predict the Clan League

Posted: Fri Nov 26, 2010 2:01 am
by owenshooter
nikola_milicki wrote:
Bruceswar wrote:the dismal amount of entries is staggering...
maybe too much research for only 3 months premium?
pretty much...-the black jesus

Re: Competition - PREMIUM PRIZE - predict the Clan League

Posted: Sun Nov 28, 2010 10:25 pm
by Bruceswar
laughingcavalier wrote:Second post is updated with link to excel of entries


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Re: Competition - PREMIUM PRIZE - predict the Clan League

Posted: Mon Nov 29, 2010 5:54 am
by Eyestone
This competition would have been a little interesting if we could see the suggestions. But we can't...

Re: Competition - PREMIUM PRIZE - predict the Clan League

Posted: Mon Nov 29, 2010 8:35 am
by laughingcavalier
Sorry about that - link corrected.
Will try get an image file together to make it nice & easy to see.

Re: Competition - PREMIUM PRIZE - predict the Clan League

Posted: Wed Dec 01, 2010 1:25 am
by chemefreak
I know that I am sometimes an arrogant ass, but I swear that I put CoF as my predicted winningest player, not myself! Hehe.

Re: Competition - PREMIUM PRIZE - predict the Clan League

Posted: Wed Dec 01, 2010 4:31 pm
by Commander62890
It's surprising to see Dako and CoF chosen 3 times apiece, when no other player was selected more than once

Re: Competition - PREMIUM PRIZE - predict the Clan League

Posted: Thu Dec 02, 2010 6:37 pm
by laughingcavalier
Updated.
chemefreak wrote:I know that I am sometimes an arrogant ass, but I swear that I put CoF as my predicted winningest player, not myself! Hehe.
Sorry! Yours was the only one that I got mixed up I think - it was right on the other pages of the sheet.
Commander62890 wrote:It's surprising to see Dako and CoF chosen 3 times apiece, when no other player was selected more than once
I was surprised too - seems everyone has a lot of faith in TOFU, and looking at how they're doing that may not be misplaced.