@ Kask :

c) and how would you calculate the expected losses? it's not only a matter of adding up the attrition from my table (see the bottom of the page), it's also a matter of determining the probability that x% of the attacks will be "3v2" (my notation!), "3v1", or "2v1", or "2v2" respectively ...

Hey there! many thanks for the positive feedback and for chipping in with your own ideas! Let me address a few of those:

Kask's :
(a) I indeed support reinforcing with one troop to get 4 troops on attacking territories (see my PR2 ). However, I am yet to find a normative method with which to ...

Hello again, about a month ago I wrote an article about calculating Risk dice odds( link ), and put together a script to help do that.

Recently, I tried to combine the knowledge from that any my gameplay experience to formulate a number of strategy guidelines (for 1v1 games - since I haven't gotten ...

My formulas are exactly what you wrote there - only with a shorter notation and generalized for s dice sides and a attackers. The long part before the final expressions is just the way I derived them

Also, since the defender never makes the decision whether to be attacked, victory probabilities ...

Hi there, while trying to spice up my gameplay with a bit of science, I noticed that there's a lot of confounding info about that and a lot of sub-par odds calculators out there.

So I decided to calculate everything myself - and in the process put together an article about all single-attack ...