So...I took a few minutes and calc'd my weighted average win percentage (e.g. my 2 person games, my 4 player doubles games and my 6 player triples games [making up the games that would represent the 50% win ratio] total 407; my total when I did it was 2916 games; thus 14% of my historical games had the weighted average of 7% towards my total calculated of 25.8 [50% avg poss of winning * 14% for this entry]).
My overall total, assuming I win based on averages, is 25.8%. My stated percentage is 27%.....I am 1.2% better than average.....lol
Anyone else?
Last edited by KoolBak on Mon Feb 08, 2010 2:31 pm, edited 1 time in total.
"Gypsy told my fortune...she said that nothin showed...."
The games you have where the odds of winning are 50% are 1v1, 4 person doubs, 6 person triples and 8 person quad; YOU played 355 of these. Games with 33% chance of winning are 3 person singles and 6 person doubles; you played 45 of these. Games with 25 % = 10.....17% = 65.....13% = 38. I left out the 5 an 7 person singles as they were negligible. Weighting these is as follows; for the 50% games....355 / 516 (my total of games for you) = 69% of your games at a 50% chance of winning or 34.5% of your total win percentage is based on 1v1 and similar games. Adding the balance of the numbers, your average win rate, based on you winning by the odds exactly, would be 40.9%. You are above that at 46% so I would say you are better than the average player ;o)
"Gypsy told my fortune...she said that nothin showed...."
The games you have where the odds of winning are 50% are 1v1, 4 person doubs, 6 person triples and 8 person quad; YOU played 355 of these. Games with 33% chance of winning are 3 person singles and 6 person doubles; you played 45 of these. Games with 25 % = 10.....17% = 65.....13% = 38. I left out the 5 an 7 person singles as they were negligible. Weighting these is as follows; for the 50% games....355 / 516 (my total of games for you) = 69% of your games at a 50% chance of winning or 34.5% of your total win percentage is based on 1v1 and similar games. Adding the balance of the numbers, your average win rate, based on you winning by the odds exactly, would be 40.9%. You are above that at 46% so I would say you are better than the average player ;o)
I get it now, thanks !
I win 5.1% more than I should win !
Must have had lucky dice then..
Qwert....arent those calcs a function of BOB or some other downloadable script / add-on? I play the old fashined way ;o).....although I admit I like the new little table that sums up the main stats....lol
"Gypsy told my fortune...she said that nothin showed...."
Qwert....arent those calcs a function of BOB or some other downloadable script / add-on? I play the old fashined way ;o).....although I admit I like the new little table that sums up the main stats....lol
im not quite sure what you mean.
Map rank scrip,will calculate many thing.
For example-you press 2 player games,and then hit map rank,and they will give you all informacions about,what map you play-total games with 2 players -how many you win and how many you lost-total unique opponents,and many other stats/
KoolBak wrote:Qwert....arent those calcs a function of BOB or some other downloadable script / add-on? I play the old fashined way ;o).....although I admit I like the new little table that sums up the main stats....lol
Map rank has a feature called kill ratio, perhaps this is what you are talking about. They probably take your actual average divided by what average should be and then multiply by 50 and stick a % sign in front of it. At least I'm assuming that that is how it is done.
50% games... won 3 of 5 4p doubles, won 1 of 4 6p trips, won 0 of 1 quad... so 5 out of 10 = 50% (even)
33% games... won 13 of 24 6p doubles, won 1 of 2 3p games... so 14 out of 26 = 54% (+19%)
25% games... won 7 of 19 4p games... so 37% (+12%)
20% games... won 23 of 55 5p games... so 42% (+22%)
17% games... won 108 of 434 6p games... so 25% (+8%)
14% games... won 2 of 12 7p games... so 17% (+3%)
12.5% games... won 4 of 17 8p games... so 23.5% (+11%)
expected 35,17
real 47,66
difference 12,49%
relative rank 0.919
@corno
if your calculations were correct you'd play 17% worse than you are supposed. But you did not. This is what I got for you
expected 27,16%
real 30,95%
difference 3,79%
so you're doing better than you are supposed to...
Robinette wrote:Hey KoolBak, this is intriguing...
Let me see if i can do this...
50% games... won 3 of 5 4p doubles, won 1 of 4 6p trips, won 0 of 1 quad... so 5 out of 10 = 50% (even)
33% games... won 13 of 24 6p doubles, won 1 of 2 3p games... so 14 out of 26 = 54% (+19%)
25% games... won 7 of 19 4p games... so 37% (+12%)
20% games... won 23 of 55 5p games... so 42% (+22%)
17% games... won 108 of 434 6p games... so 25% (+8%)
14% games... won 2 of 12 7p games... so 17% (+3%)
12.5% games... won 4 of 17 8p games... so 23.5% (+11%)
so where does that put me overall?
your overall expected win% is 18,43. So well done! +9,79%!!!
it's much more difficult to get a big difference if you play games with many players. For Example: winning 60% of 2 player games (+10%) is easy while winning 27% of six player games (also +10%) is difficult!
Robin my dear.....the 18.xx figure is correct; your 10% overage is VERY impressive given that it is solely based on your playing prowess in singles six person games.....very nice ;o) Best posted here yet I do believe......
"Gypsy told my fortune...she said that nothin showed...."
