Are the dice fair on this website? Dice log and analysis. vF

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persianempire
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Re: Are the dice fair on this website? Dice log and analysis. vF

Post by persianempire »

this is how the dice work on this site, for me anways,,, repeated fucking for 10-15 games then solid for 1. ther needs to be some type of REGULATORY MACHINE that makes the dice 50 50 in each game. as in you get good and bad streaks in every game, not bad for 10 then ridiculous good for 1
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chipv
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Re: Are the dice fair on this website? Dice log and analysis. vF

Post by chipv »

Doc_Brown wrote:Have any of you ever played the board game "Settlers of Catan?" I used to play it all the time (as in an average of 3-4 games per week for several months) with a group of friends. That's another dice-based game in which you gather resources based on your positioning on the board relative to various tiles with the numbers 2-12 (excluding 7) assigned to them. In theory, 6s and 8s were the best tiles control. In reality, some games the person sitting on the 10s and 11s would keep getting his numbers rolled and we'd go round after round without a single 8 ever showing up (which was really frustrating for the guys sitting on the 8s!). But of course, we'd play the next game and see a proper share of 10s while 5s became really hot. Streakiness is perfectly normal. In fact, some analysis tools used to determine whether data is based on real sampling as opposed to fabricated values (with particular application to checking for tampering in vote tabulation) specifically checks for streaks. Too low an incidence of streaks is evidence of tampering.


It is straightforward (and hopefully intuitive) to demonstrate that the probability of getting streaks increase with the number of dice.
So yes I agree that too low a frequency of streaks is actually evidence of non-random dice.

I would like to evaluate some of these tools that you are referring (specifically regarding streaks) to so please PM me, thanks in advance.
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