[CC5] FALL vs LHDD [31-30] FINAL 9/04

rockfist · Post by **rockfist** » Tue Jul 07, 2015 11:22 pm

I never bother with calculations, I just go by gut feel.

betiko · Post by **betiko** » Wed Jul 08, 2015 5:40 am

loutil wrote:To be clear...70 vs 9,3,3,9,3,70 is NOT less than 1%. It is actually just above 8% meaning it will succeed 1 in 12 attempts. Certainly lucky but not a 1% or 1 in 100. They would have needed to kill an additional stack of 15 to get it below 1%.

yeah I don't have the odds calculator since the site decided to screw all add ons and the firefox version. I just feel screwed when these bellow 10% stuff happen...
rockfist I rarely calculate them anymore, it's more about gut feeling of what the % is more or less.

Post by **IcePack** » Wed Jul 08, 2015 11:16 pm

What does LHDD have the games at right now? Just curious to compare numbers

Donelladan · Post by **Donelladan** » Thu Jul 09, 2015 2:04 am

Smthg like 10-14 or 9-16 for you guys at our last update.
1st set should finished between 9-11 and 6-14 for you according to me.

But then, what are your numbers?

betiko · Post by **betiko** » Thu Jul 09, 2015 3:22 am

in other words, we are getting ass raped so far!

Momo33 · Post by **Momo33** » Thu Jul 09, 2015 7:59 am

Donelladan wrote:Smthg like 10-14 or 9-16 for you guys at our last update.
1st set should finished between 9-11 and 6-14 for you according to me.

But then, what are your numbers?

We are not all that pessimist in LHDD

I don't have the same number as bet lol

iAmCaffeine · Post by **iAmCaffeine** » Thu Jul 09, 2015 10:06 am

betiko wrote:in other words, we are getting ass raped so far!

That's the best kind.

rockfist · Post by **rockfist** » Thu Jul 09, 2015 10:39 am

Huge difference between 14-10 and 16-9...huge.

betiko · Post by **betiko** » Thu Jul 09, 2015 10:58 am

rockfist wrote:Huge difference between 14-10 and 16-9...huge.

pretty much. Still haven't heard about your forecasts ice.

Post by **IcePack** » Thu Jul 09, 2015 11:16 am

betiko wrote:
rockfist wrote:Huge difference between 14-10 and 16-9...huge.

pretty much. Still haven't heard about your forecasts ice.

You guys answered while I slept & now I'm at work, don't have my info in front of me. I think I had 16-11 if I included slight leanings, but 13-8 ish realistically. But again, that's from memory I might be off. I can post later w my actual #'s from yesterday

Donelladan · Post by **Donelladan** » Thu Jul 09, 2015 11:38 am

rockfist wrote:Huge difference between 14-10 and 16-9...huge.

We have two members making pronostic in LHDD, on is more optimistic than the other

iAmCaffeine · Post by **iAmCaffeine** » Thu Jul 09, 2015 11:39 am

Donelladan wrote:
rockfist wrote:Huge difference between 14-10 and 16-9...huge.

We have two members making pronostic in LHDD, on is more optimistic than the other

Is one of them Momo by any chance?

betiko · Post by **betiko** » Thu Jul 09, 2015 11:43 am

iAmCaffeine wrote:
Donelladan wrote:
rockfist wrote:Huge difference between 14-10 and 16-9...huge.

We have two members making pronostic in LHDD, on is more optimistic than the other

Is one of the Momo by any chance?

yup... my forecasts vs momo's forecasts lol. We're never on the same page! :lol:

and ice, those include the games leaning one way or the other.

iAmCaffeine · Post by **iAmCaffeine** » Thu Jul 09, 2015 11:45 am

betiko wrote:
iAmCaffeine wrote:
Donelladan wrote:
rockfist wrote:Huge difference between 14-10 and 16-9...huge.

We have two members making pronostic in LHDD, on is more optimistic than the other

Is one of the Momo by any chance?

yup... my forecasts vs momo's forecasts lol. We're never on the same page!

Well, we all know Momo is ever the optimist, and I have you pegged as a slight pessimist, so therefore we should probably go for a 15-9.5 I reckon.

Post by **loutil** » Thu Jul 09, 2015 1:17 pm

betiko wrote:
loutil wrote:To be clear...70 vs 9,3,3,9,3,70 is NOT less than 1%. It is actually just above 8% meaning it will succeed 1 in 12 attempts. Certainly lucky but not a 1% or 1 in 100. They would have needed to kill an additional stack of 15 to get it below 1%.

yeah I don't have the odds calculator since the site decided to screw all add ons and the firefox version. I just feel screwed when these bellow 10% stuff happen...
rockfist I rarely calculate them anymore, it's more about gut feeling of what the % is more or less.

All I did was reinstall an older version of Firefox and kept all my tools 8-)

.

Post by **IcePack** » Thu Jul 09, 2015 1:28 pm

loutil wrote:
betiko wrote:
loutil wrote:To be clear...70 vs 9,3,3,9,3,70 is NOT less than 1%. It is actually just above 8% meaning it will succeed 1 in 12 attempts. Certainly lucky but not a 1% or 1 in 100. They would have needed to kill an additional stack of 15 to get it below 1%.

yeah I don't have the odds calculator since the site decided to screw all add ons and the firefox version. I just feel screwed when these bellow 10% stuff happen...
rockfist I rarely calculate them anymore, it's more about gut feeling of what the % is more or less.

All I did was reinstall an older version of Firefox and kept all my tools .

Good ol' reliable Firefox 30.0!

Doc_Brown · Post by **Doc_Brown** » Thu Jul 09, 2015 1:44 pm

I know this is off topic (but if everyone can hijack our war thread for a discussion of clan merges, why not start a conversation about site add-ons here? :lol:

), but I have the latest version of Firefox. Bob doesn't work right, but the panel interface works fine, and I have clickies, chat glove, and assault odds working flawlessly (most of the time!). It's actually pretty nice having the assault odds in one of the panels so I can position it where it's most convenient while looking at the map.

Momo33 · Post by **Momo33** » Thu Jul 09, 2015 1:59 pm

iAmCaffeine wrote:
betiko wrote:
iAmCaffeine wrote:
Donelladan wrote:
rockfist wrote:Huge difference between 14-10 and 16-9...huge.

We have two members making pronostic in LHDD, on is more optimistic than the other

Is one of the Momo by any chance?

yup... my forecasts vs momo's forecasts lol. We're never on the same page!

Well, we all know Momo is ever the optimist, and I have you pegged as a slight pessimist, so therefore we should probably go for a 15-9.5 I reckon.

Sorry guys, but right now I have 14-12 in favor of FALL and not 14-10

So for me this war is still very close, I really don't see FALL getting away from us right now. And I am pretty confident with a lot of games still tied up. This could really go to the 61st game!

Post by **IcePack** » Fri Jul 10, 2015 12:41 am

I have it at:
FALL 15
LHDD 10

As of right now. Out of those, I have 12-7 "locked" (meaning very low chance of moving sides)

Post by **IcePack** » Sat Jul 11, 2015 7:06 pm

Spanish Armada has FALLEN! 7-5

betiko · Post by **betiko** » Sat Jul 11, 2015 10:57 pm

ww2 poland trips to put it back in 1 game! 6-7

Momo33 · Post by **Momo33** » Sun Jul 12, 2015 8:44 am

score updated

betiko · Post by **betiko** » Sun Jul 12, 2015 9:37 am

in decided games I have this at 12-10 fallen right now

jcmagno · Post by **jcmagno** » Mon Jul 13, 2015 12:37 am

nice come back!

betiko · Post by **betiko** » Mon Jul 13, 2015 12:24 pm

austrum in the bag! that's 7-7... first tie since the war started.

but more decided wins coming your way....

[CC5] FALL vs LHDD [31-30] FINAL 9/04

Wich clan will win this war

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