tzor wrote:BigBallinStalin wrote:From Iran's perspective, would it be worth it for them to nuke Israel? if yes, why?
The simple answer is "yes" although the complex answer directs that they cannot do it directly. Basically, from a religious prespective, the answer is "no" as the illitegimite head of Iranian Islam has stated that the use of nuclear weapons is "forbidden." On the other hand the influences of Nazism in Iran continues to this day and the extermination of the Jews in the middle east remains a strong goal and motivation. For a hollocaust denier and professed 9/11 truther, using nuclear weapons to obtain this goal is only logical.
Realistically speaking, the only answer is "no." If you were to balance the costs of nuking Israel compared to not nuking Israel, you'd realize that the costs are way too great for nuking them. The current Iranians in power would be villainized by most of the world, many nations would have an easy claim to invade them, and thus they lose the whole game show. What's the point of nuking Israel if they lose everything? They're not that stupid. So, of course, No, their threats are mere rhetoric--about 95% of the Israelis I've talked to think the same.
It's not about what their goals are but about the realistic appraisal of their ability to meet such goals, so don't let their rhetoric or even US rhetoric mislead you.
tzor wrote:The problem becomes clearer when it is noted that Iran is an economically dying nation. Thanks to the UK and what is now BP, Iran was the first to start the oil flowing in the middle east, back in the 1890's and it's going to be the first to run out. They are already importing massive amounts of natural gas just to keep enough pressure on the oil fields to get the oil flowing. Soon the spice (I meam the oil) will no longer flow and they will become just another two bit dir poor piece of MIddle East shit. Their window is closing, they only have a short time to make it big or surrender to the House of Saud.
They seem very self-reliant, and have survived decades of sanctions which have very little affect on them. They've even managed to beef up their surface-to-air missile capabilities as well as an entire nuclear program. Sure, their inflation has run high, but their exchange rates are capped at very small amounts, and not much money can be taken out to buy other currencies, so within their nation things are generally stable. Also, they have huge oil reserves (3rd ranked in the world), and they have the world's 2nd largest natural gas reserves.
Ol' Saxi is too old to color those little countries ... a slight shake and you end up making Nicaragua into Costa Rica or Slovenia into Croatia or Australia into the Pacific Ocean.
