Global Warming: Scientists' Best Predictions May Be Wrong

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thegreekdog
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Re: Global Warming: Scientists' Best Predictions May Be Wrong

Post by thegreekdog »

PLAYER57832 wrote:No need to carry it to that extreme. Part of the problem is that people keep wanting to see ourselves as apart from the ecosystem instead of a part of it. Therefore we think it is OK to ignore our impacts. The net result is that much we have done is harmful to us. The rest of nature illustrates it, but ultimately, it does come down to what is best or is not for us. And, the real truth is that if you are killing off millions of species (as we have and are), we are doing things that will harm us.

The further truth is that because our technology has done such a good job of isolating us from these very real impacts, by the time many people deign to notice there is a problem, it will be far, far too late to fix much of anything. All the cloning in the world won't bring back complex ecosystems we don't even truly understand.


I think there is a need to carry it to that extreme. Essentially, I think we need to all take a deep breath and consider what we are all saying. This basic premise is that we're damaging the environment. I can get on board with that premise. The statements "humans are fucking up the environment" and "name one thing humanity has done to benefit the world" are ridiculous statements that smack of alarmism and unrealistic expectations. Fine, we fucked up the environment. I suggest you, and Cheryl Crow and Al Gore, get off your computers, sell your cars, sell your homes, and go live in commune with nature. Don't use any artificially made power, don't burn wood, don't kill animals or kill trees. Don't have a job. Just sit in your hut, eat your berries, and leave the earth alone. Otherwise, you're all just being hypocrits.

Look, I'm a fan of helping the environment when it helps me back. I'm not the guy throwing cigarette butts out the window of his car or throwing toxic waste in the river or cutting down trees. But, I'm not going to give up a large part of my lifestyle that has a negative effect on the environment because that's simply unrealistic, naive, and ignorant. So, when someone says that humanity has a negative effect on the environment, I say let's take it to the extreme. Al Gore should sell his multimillion dollar house, stop flying around in jets, and lead by example. He shoudl also put forward the premise that unless we kill 95% of the people on the planet, close down all combustion engines and power sources, and live like we're in the B.C.E., we're always going to have a negative effect on the environment.
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Timminz
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Re: Global Warming: Scientists' Best Predictions May Be Wrong

Post by Timminz »

captain.crazy wrote:when world leaders say that it is and that there must be global government and taxts to save the earth


Which leaders are saying that, due to global warming, we need to form a global government?
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captain.crazy
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Re: Global Warming: Scientists' Best Predictions May Be Wrong

Post by captain.crazy »

Timminz wrote:
captain.crazy wrote:when world leaders say that it is and that there must be global government and taxts to save the earth


Which leaders are saying that, due to global warming, we need to form a global government?


Are you kidding?
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Woodruff
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Re: Global Warming: Scientists' Best Predictions May Be Wrong

Post by Woodruff »

thegreekdog wrote:On a side note, where the heck did everyone go? Sultanofsurreal is gone. Jonesthecurl hasn't been posting. BK is gone. I mean, fine, I know where Dancing Mustard is, but where is everyone else? I feel like the only people I can argue, I mean discuss, issues with anymore are captain.crazy, Inklosed (who just got reported for spam I guess), and gabonx.


I saw Sultan post just a day or two ago...don't remember the thread, but I checked the date on it because, like you, I had noticed his absence. I've seen BK in the last week, but not in the last couple of days...maybe he took a trip.
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Re: Global Warming: Scientists' Best Predictions May Be Wrong

Post by PLAYER57832 »

thegreekdog wrote:
PLAYER57832 wrote:No need to carry it to that extreme. Part of the problem is that people keep wanting to see ourselves as apart from the ecosystem instead of a part of it. Therefore we think it is OK to ignore our impacts. The net result is that much we have done is harmful to us. The rest of nature illustrates it, but ultimately, it does come down to what is best or is not for us. And, the real truth is that if you are killing off millions of species (as we have and are), we are doing things that will harm us.

The further truth is that because our technology has done such a good job of isolating us from these very real impacts, by the time many people deign to notice there is a problem, it will be far, far too late to fix much of anything. All the cloning in the world won't bring back complex ecosystems we don't even truly understand.


I think there is a need to carry it to that extreme. Essentially, I think we need to all take a deep breath and consider what we are all saying. This basic premise is that we're damaging the environment. I can get on board with that premise. The statements "humans are fucking up the environment" and "name one thing humanity has done to benefit the world" are ridiculous statements that smack of alarmism and unrealistic expectations. Fine, we fucked up the environment. I suggest you, and Cheryl Crow and Al Gore, get off your computers, sell your cars, sell your homes, and go live in commune with nature. Don't use any artificially made power, don't burn wood, don't kill animals or kill trees. Don't have a job. Just sit in your hut, eat your berries, and leave the earth alone. Otherwise, you're all just being hypocrits.

but that's the point. You really DON'T have to go to that extreme. And taking that "all or nothing" stance, as folks like Bill Deval actually did (Deep Ecology) IS silly and hopeless. It won't happen, it is ridiculous.

Simple things like making sure you, at a minimum, follow the directions on the pesticides and herbicides you use in your garden go a long way to protecting our watersheds. Slightly more difficult things like using more organic or decomposable fertilizers and treatments instead of the latest Monsanto creation go much further.

Supporting business, including particularly small local businesses, that put into their communities, etc is another.

The Native Americans did not treat nature like a museum, they lived in it. We just have taken ourselves too far out. We don't have to go back to bark houses, teepees and peublos. We do need to consider not growing 2 types of corn in the entire country (not much of an exaggeration), crops other than wheat and getting our sugar from beets and other sources, rather than just sugar cane.

thegreekdog wrote:[Look, I'm a fan of helping the environment when it helps me back. I'm not the guy throwing cigarette butts out the window of his car or throwing toxic waste in the river or cutting down trees. But, I'm not going to give up a large part of my lifestyle that has a negative effect on the environment because that's simply unrealistic, naive, and ignorant. So, when someone says that humanity has a negative effect on the environment, I say let's take it to the extreme. Al Gore should sell his multimillion dollar house, stop flying around in jets, and lead by example. He shoudl also put forward the premise that unless we kill 95% of the people on the planet, close down all combustion engines and power sources, and live like we're in the B.C.E., we're always going to have a negative effect on the environment.


Skip references to Al Gore. He is a politician, and a bit of an actor, plain and simple. I have not even read his book. I plan to see the movie, but it is not a high priority. This is NOT about Al Gore. He is just the latest in a long line of people who claimed to be or even really were spokespeople for the environment.

If I look to anyone, it is folks like John Muir, Gifford Pinchot, etc. Not the latest "popular figure".

As for the rest of what you mention, to the point I am able ... I do. When I cannot, I seek to change things so that I can. For example, I used to get cow manure for my garden from a local source. Now I cannot. I was dismayed to find that no one.. NO ONE is selling it any longer in the stores. Further, there are strict regulations about application of manure, based on supposed "safety" concerns by people who, to be frank, don't know of what they speek (in short, manure not dealt with correctly can pass on diseases, but the key is "dealt with properly".. not outright elimination of it!)
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thegreekdog
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Re: Global Warming: Scientists' Best Predictions May Be Wrong

Post by thegreekdog »

I probably went a little over board, I'll admit that. My issue is that we're talking about a carbon tax and things like that which will have an effect not on big business or rich people, but will have an absolutely huge negative effect on the middle class, working class and poor. I think we're doing this ass backwards. We should bring the environmentally friendly stuff up first before penalizing the environmentally unfriendly, when the punishment has such a negative effect on people financially.

Al Gore is absolutely relevant to all this as he is the one that is pushing the carbon tax. He's not cutting back his own effect on the environment, in fact, it has probably increased what with his world tour. What he is doing is ensuring that he'll have a whole lot more money. He's not concerned about the environment, he's concerned about himself. And his efforts are going to hurt a whole lot of people in the world.
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Re: Global Warming: Scientists' Best Predictions May Be Wrong

Post by captain.crazy »

Woodruff wrote:
thegreekdog wrote:On a side note, where the heck did everyone go? Sultanofsurreal is gone. Jonesthecurl hasn't been posting. BK is gone. I mean, fine, I know where Dancing Mustard is, but where is everyone else? I feel like the only people I can argue, I mean discuss, issues with anymore are captain.crazy, Inklosed (who just got reported for spam I guess), and gabonx.


I saw Sultan post just a day or two ago...don't remember the thread, but I checked the date on it because, like you, I had noticed his absence. I've seen BK in the last week, but not in the last couple of days...maybe he took a trip.


I think that some people are getting vacations for silly stuff. ever since the willy nilly tattle tailing people have been doing against me began, I have been reporting people as they flame against me. I don't normally like to do that sort of thing, but what is fair is fair. I think it sucks to have to be so constantly on guard all the time, but I don't want to get banned again, so I have to get people to stop trying to bait me by flaming me. others may be taking a similar approach.
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Woodruff
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Re: Global Warming: Scientists' Best Predictions May Be Wrong

Post by Woodruff »

captain.crazy wrote:
Timminz wrote:
captain.crazy wrote:when world leaders say that it is and that there must be global government and taxts to save the earth


Which leaders are saying that, due to global warming, we need to form a global government?


Are you kidding?


Are you answering?
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Re: Global Warming: Scientists' Best Predictions May Be Wrong

Post by PLAYER57832 »

thegreekdog wrote:I probably went a little over board, I'll admit that. My issue is that we're talking about a carbon tax and things like that which will have an effect not on big business or rich people, but will have an absolutely huge negative effect on the middle class, working class and poor. I think we're doing this ass backwards. We should bring the environmentally friendly stuff up first before penalizing the environmentally unfriendly, when the punishment has such a negative effect on people financially.

Al Gore is absolutely relevant to all this as he is the one that is pushing the carbon tax. He's not cutting back his own effect on the environment, in fact, it has probably increased what with his world tour. What he is doing is ensuring that he'll have a whole lot more money. He's not concerned about the environment, he's concerned about himself. And his efforts are going to hurt a whole lot of people in the world.

To a point, I think you are correct.

However, the problem is that big businesses right now have too many benefits on their tables.

I mentioned fertilizer above, but it actually reveals in a microcosm what I mean. I believe in mostly organic production. ( I don't disdain something simply because its "not organic", but I look at overall impacts). For a lot of reasons, the absolute best fertilizer you can have is animal waste. People debate which is best, but the truh is that each has its place, its benefits and drawbacks. Animal waste is superior to just vegetable compost because of its composition, because there is less chance of disease transmission, etc. Essentially, in a sustainable system, the animals recycle the vegetable "waste" in a variety of ways.

Vegetable composting can work, though you don't gain quite the same nutrient mix. You always have more of a net loss, because you never put back quite what you take out. The extra step is missing. Also, if you fail to compost absolutely properly, you will transmit any organism (fungus, etc.) that might have been harbored in the plants. This is a big problem right now with early blight, for example. Folks are being advised NOT to compost affected plants.

The key is to use animal waste well. The ideal is to properly compost (so germs are killed) or otherwise treating it (with heat, ultraviolet rays, etc.). Note that even if ruminant or chicken waste is not treated properly, there is still little chance of human-obtainable diseases to be transmitted because of the digestion process, etc. Also, ruminants (traditionally) eat grasses and other things that we don't eat, so there is yet another step removed from the vegetables.
You also have to compost so you break down the nitrogen, etc. and don't "burn" the plants.


OK, so I am a firm believer in organic, particularly animal waste. EXCEPT. I cannot find it in any of my local stores. No where! I did have a private source, but no longer. Everyone I have asked already has takers for their fertilizer. So, what do I do? I do compost, but that is not sufficient for my newly expanded garden. So, I either gave up having a garden or bought commercial fertilizer. Even then, I looked for organic stuff. Except ... the organic fertilizer was $12.00 for a little package. It would have cost me over $60 to cover my garden. Its not just that this would mean my graden would cost me money instead of saving me money, I just plain did not have $60 then to spend.. period. I did not have it! So, I got a 50 pound bag of 10-10-10 for $7.00.

How did this happen? You used to be able to walk into any hardware or garden store and buy composted manure or steer manure for cheap. Now, regulations from folks who hear horror stories of diseases from vegetables in Mexico (often involving human waste or other human contamination) and decide this means that cow manure is a threat, combined with a reduction in US beef production all mean that manure is not available like it was.

THAT is the sort of connections I talk about, the sorts of solutions I mean. If those folks really understood how diseases were passed on, they would not worry. However, there is a large group of conservatives and even some idiotic liberals who have a vested interest in seeing that only the surface and partial truth is put forward. Add in a media that sells more from sensational news than sense .. and you have today.

I am going to look for alternatives. I may wind up getting something over the internet or maybe I will luck into a local source. (part of the problem this year was timing... I had no idea it would be such an issue). However, I know darned well most of my neighbors are not going to put forth that effort. For them to change, we need to get manure back in our local stores.

For that to happen, we need to make the companies putting out fertilizer so cheaply pay more of the real costs thier product encurs. For example, we know that despite directions, most homeowners use about 10 times as much pesticide as they need. One requirement is to improve labeling so its even more clear that people need to follow directions. But, the other part is to say to the company -- we know that no intructions on your part are going to fix this. Either we limit who gets to have it or we tack on a surcharge to pay for the cleanup.

Except .. here is where I typically hear you saying "no taxes .. taxes bad... etc."

What we REALLY need is to get past the labels and catch phrases and try to really understand. What we need is sense, not nonsense. Sense on ALL fronts.
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Re: Global Warming: Scientists' Best Predictions May Be Wrong

Post by captain.crazy »

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Re: Global Warming: Scientists' Best Predictions May Be Wrong

Post by PLAYER57832 »

captain.crazy wrote:Image



Except the funny part is no one is saying there shouldn't be debate. Its just that nothing YOU have presented is debate.

That article you present is classic. Science is about dispute. So, for someone to pop up and say "hey.. you guys are wrong". is science. Of course, if what he says is not sensible, it goes no further.
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Re: Global Warming: Scientists' Best Predictions May Be Wrong

Post by captain.crazy »

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Re: Global Warming: Scientists' Best Predictions May Be Wrong

Post by captain.crazy »

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Timminz
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Re: Global Warming: Scientists' Best Predictions May Be Wrong

Post by Timminz »

captain.crazy wrote:
Timminz wrote:
captain.crazy wrote:when world leaders say that it is and that there must be global government and taxts to save the earth


Which leaders are saying that, due to global warming, we need to form a global government?


Are you kidding?


Not at all. Which leaders are pushing for a global government, based on global warming? Or based on anything, really.
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xelabale
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Re: Global Warming: Scientists' Best Predictions May Be Wrong

Post by xelabale »

I got some more!!
captain.crazy may be a troll
dancing mustard might have been a bit hard done by
cc mods may be well loved
JR might post too many threads congratulating himself.

Hey does this conditional thing mean nothing's libelous? Or flaming?

Hey woodruff - you might be a knobcheese!
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Timminz
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Re: Global Warming: Scientists' Best Predictions May Be Wrong

Post by Timminz »

Timminz wrote:
captain.crazy wrote:
Timminz wrote:
captain.crazy wrote:when world leaders say that it is and that there must be global government and taxts to save the earth


Which leaders are saying that, due to global warming, we need to form a global government?


Are you kidding?


Not at all. Which leaders are pushing for a global government, based on global warming? Or based on anything, really.


Hmmm... I went away for 4 days, and he still doesn't have an answer. It must be because he's just so right that he doesn't need to back up any of his outlandish claims.

edit- Just saw the bust. I guess I'll have to wait until the next multi outs himself in the forums, before I will get my answer.
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